October 18, 2005
Diageo/Hotline Poll Of VA
Kaine sports a 2-pt lead over Kilgore among registered voters; Kilgore leads by a point among likelies. Education and transportation are the most important issues. Dems seem to be more enthused about their guy than GOPers are about theirs.Most of the dope sheet is after the jump. Hotline subscribers get the full poll, plus our special '08 Allen/Warner questions. A Diageo/Hotline poll; conducted 10/13-16 by Financial Dynamics; surveyed 500 regis. VA voters; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/18). EL subsample: 321 extremely likely to vote voters; margin of error +/- 5.6%. LV subsample: 435 extremely/very likely to vote voters; margin of error +/- 4.7%. Tested: LG Tim Kaine (D), ex-AG Jerry Kilgore (R) and state Sen. Russ Potts (I).
GOV General Election Matchups Non Born Agn?
All ELs LVs GOP Ind Dem Men Wom Wht Blk Wht Yes No
Kaine 40% 41% 41% 13% 33% 86% 34% 44% 40% 54% 37% 27% 50%
Kilgore 38 42 40 70 25 5 41 35 39 15 34 53 28
Potts 5 5 6 4 11 3 10 2 6 4 4 3 7
Undec/DK 18 13 14 12 30 6 15 20 16 27 25 18 17
Hmpt Lynch Shend Roank
Rds SthS NOVA Pdmnt Rich SthW 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Kaine 41% 30% 43% 46% 42% 23% 49% 26% 35% 44% 44%
Kilgore 33 49 36 32 33 55 30 47 45 30 36
Potts 4 12 6 5 4 5 2 10 1 10 3
Undec/Oth 22 9 15 18 20 17 20 17 19 16 17
2-Way Matchup All GOP Ind Dem
Kaine 41% 18% 35% 84%
Kilgore 39 69 32 7
Undec/DK 20 13 33 10
Gov. Race Interest? All GOP Ind Dem
Direction Of VA A lot 50% 49% 47% 60%
All GOP Ind Dem Some 31 34 36 24
Right dir 56% 58% 57% 59% A little 14 14 14 11
Wrong trk 28 28 30 27 None 4 3 4 5
Most Impt Issue Facing State? Should Illegal Immigrants Who Are
(top 5) All GOP Ind Dem Working In US Be Able To Keep Jobs
Education 16% 17% 10% 21% Eventually Applying For Legal Stat
Economy 15 16 17 15 Or Be Deported Back To Country?
Taxes 10 11 12 8 All GOP Ind Dem
Jobs 6 6 8 6 Chance to stay 48% 38% 52% 61%
Gas prices 4 6 5 3 Deported back 38 50 31 26
Amount Of Federal Taxes You Pay Immigration Kept At Current Level?
All GOP Ind Dem All GOP Ind Dem
Too high 48% 54% 58% 32% Present level 32% 23% 38% 42%
About right 44 41 36 55 Increased 14 14 18 12
Too low 4 2 2 8 Decreased 42 54 39 31
Agree/Disagree With The Following? Agg Dis
Gov't respons. to care for those who can't for themselves 67% 29%
Prayer is an important part of my daily life 77 21
Labor unions are necessary to protect working people 63 31
Business corporations get too many tax breaks from gov't 67 23
School boards have right to fire teachers who are known gay 27 68
Gay marriage is detrimental to instiution of marriage 52 42
Convicted of premeditated murder should be given death penalty 67 24
Fav/Unfav Fav/Unfav Most Impt For Next Gov. To Address?
Kilgore 42%/28% All GOP Ind Dem
Kaine 42 /25 Education 30% 29% 23% 36%
Warner 69 /16 Transport/gas 24 22 30 23
Gilmore 30 /24 Healthcare 21 16 25 26
Potts 17 /11 Taxes 12 16 9 5
Allen 53 /22 Immigration 5 8 7 2
Bush 49 /46 Death penalty 2 2 - 3
Which Have You Done As Result Of Gas Prices? All GOP Ind Dem
Made more of an effort to find cheapest station 52% 58% 47% 50%
Cut back significantly on how much you drive 43 40 43 47
Considered more fuel-efficient car the next time 30 29 26 31
Cut back significantly on your household spending 21 18 22 22
Used public transportation to get to work 8 8 10 6
Which One Of Following Is More Likely To Be Corrupt? All GOP Ind Dem
Federal elected officiails, such as Congress 27% 26% 19% 37%
Local elected officials, such as Mayor or Council 24 28 24 20
Appointed gov't officials, such as Cabinet members 17 14 19 16
State elected offficials, such as Gov or AG 8 9 12 3
Posted at 12:43 PM
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