June 30, 2006

HRH Extra: Oh Henrys!

The Supreme Court's redistricting decision won't likely affect the partisan makeup of the next Congress, but could cause heartburn for Reps. Henry Bonilla (R-TX 23) and Henry Cuellar (D-TX 28).

The ramifications largely depend on who is responsible for the new redistricting. If the GOP-state legislature is tasked with redrawing the lines, Bonilla and Cuellar should be in fine shape. But both incumbents are concerned that Cuellar's Dem, Latino base of Webb Co. could be shifted to Bonilla's CD.

Cuellar may have the most to lose. His seat would be jeopardized if he loses Webb. And if the courts declare another round of TX primaries, he could face a third challenge against ex-Rep. Ciro Rodriguez, or the more highly-regarded state Rep. Richard Raymond.

Still, the picture is far from clear. And Cuellar isn't taking anything for granted, with six fundraisers scheduled within the next 4 months. But while the decision may have largely kept the map intact, it's created a whole new slew of questions for incumbents in southwest TX. [JOSH KRAUSHAAR]


Posted at 09:04 AM


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