June 21, 2006

On The Trail: The Marginal Voter Matters

GOP strategists are likely to try to depress the turnout among swing voters by painting the Democratic Party as disorganized. Why? Because, Chuck Todd notes, recent polls indicate they are likely to vote Democrat this fall. Collectively, intraparty disputes paint a picture of a party that's not yet ready to lead. And you know what? That may not be such a bad thing.

What the Republicans have to fear going into the midterms is the casual voter, aka "independents." And the midterm elections are where the power of these casual voters are most evident. A successful candidate running in a non-presidential year is the one that recruits the most casual voters to his or her side. In this case, the Republicans are banking on depressing casual Democratic voters to the point that they won't vote, or that they believe their vote in 2006 won't matter, because the party they think they side with seems disorganized or lacking a voice.
Continue reading On The Trail.


Campaign 2006 2006 Race Rankings
Democrats have a new number two and Kerry advances a spot in our '08 race rankings. Plus:
  Senate races · Governor races · House races



Posted at 12:26 PM


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