August 28, 2006

House Race Hotline Update: Round Two!

straw.gif The GOP Sweep in 1994 was mostly built on fresh faces, but a few victors had the pleasure of beating incumbents whom they had lost to in '92, such as Jon Fox (R-PA), Enid Greene Waldholtz (R-UT), and Doc Hastings (R-WA). This may bode well for certain Dems running in '06, but it's important to note that these '94 victors had come close to winning in '92, with 47%-49% of the vote each.

Lois Murphy (R-PA 06) and Diane Farrell (R-CT 04) can certainly take heart in their 49% and 48% near-wins in 2004, and each is well-positioned heading into this fall. But the path is much steeper for Paul Hodes (D-NH 02) and Jerry McNerney (D-CA 11), with '04 losses of 38% and 39% respectively. Joe Courtney's (D-CT 02) decent 46% loss in '02 may give him some comfort, however John Cranley's (D-OH 01) 45% loss in '00 was in a CD with more Dems than the one he's currently running in.[ JOSH KRAUSHAAR] hrhlogo.gif


Posted at 02:30 PM


Comments


Diane Farrell is a Democrat...

James Martin | 08.28.06 09:50 PM


Correction: Murphy and Farrell are Democrats.

E. Guzman | 08.29.06 04:15 PM

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