September 06, 2006
On The Trail: Could Bush Drop Lower?
It's time to examine when we'll know how things are shaping up in the next 60 days and where we'll find the clues... the real danger for the party in power is that Bush's approval numbers can still go lower, writes Chuck Todd."If the electorate is as angry as the polls and media indicate, and if that anger is going to be cast upon Bush, then his job-approval rating will start falling again, particularly among likely voters. We should see evidence of that by the end of the month. And the closer Bush's job-approval rating gets to 35 percent, the higher the likelihood that both the House and the Senate will go to the Democrats."
"The second marker is harder to track because major polls address it differently, but the distinction in the public's mind between the war on terror and the war in Iraq ought to be followed closely. Simply put, if voters are going into the voting booths worried about Iraq, they are probably voting Democrat. If voters are going in worried about terrorism, they are probably voting Republican."
Read Chuck Todd's On The Trail.
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