January 19, 2007
The Big Number: 4
American Research Group (R) released polls in 8 states just after The Hotline's deadline today. In each state, 600 likely primary voters of each party were surveyed; margin of error +/- 4%.
As further prrof that the Dem primary is coalescing less around its front-runners than the GOP primary, no fewer than 4 Dems lead in different states. Sure, Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) takes the lion's share of states and the only other winners take their home states (save a tie in MI), but at least other candidates are leading. On the GOP side, only 2 front-runners lead among the 8 states polled [REID WILSON].
See polls:
WH '08 Dem Primary Election Matchups
MI MO FL PA IL NM CA NC
H. Clinton 30% 30% 30% 32% 30% 22% 36% 26%
B. Obama 30 18 15 13 36 17 33 19
J. Edwards 17 17 14 12 5 12 6 30
J. Biden 2 -- 6 8 3 1 1 1
W. Clark 2 1 2 6 1 5 2 3
D. Kucinich 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 3
C. Dodd 1 -- 1 2 2 1 -- 2
J. Kerry 1 2 3 2 2 1 4 1
B. Richardson -- 2 1 1 3 28 1 2
T. Vilsack -- 5 2 1 2 1 -- --
M. Gravel -- -- -- 1 -- -- -- --
Other/undec 14 23 26 21 16 10 16 15
WH '08 GOP Primary Election Matchup
MI MO FL PA IL NM CA NC
R. Giuliani 34% 18% 30% 35% 33% 38% 33% 34%
J. McCain 24 31 15 25 24 20 18 26
M. Romney 10 2 2 1 12 7 3 2
N. Gingrich 9 14 16 10 8 9 19 11
T. Thompson 7 2 -- -- 4 -- -- --
M. Huckabee 2 1 1 1 -- -- -- 4
S. Brownback -- 5 1 2 4 4 -- --
J. Gilmore -- -- -- 1 -- -- -- 1
C. Hagel -- 3 2 4 3 6 5 2
D. Hunter -- -- -- -- 1 -- 1 --
G. Pataki -- -- 1 -- -- 1 -- --
Other/undec 14 24 32 21 11 15 22 19
Posted at 01:45 PM
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