April 19, 2007

ABC/Post Poll Nuggets

The poll finds that the percentage of those surveyed who would definitely not support Sen. John McCain has nearly doubled and is nearly a majority -- 47%. He's become as polarizing as Hillary Clinton, at least to partisans. But only 41% of independents say they would definitely not support him.

Among independents -- Definitely would NOT support
Romney: 53%
Clinton: 51
McCain: 41
Edwards: 39
Giuliani: 35
Obama: 29

In the Republican primary, McCain's support has leveled off at about 21 percent. When Fred Thompson is included in the question, Rudy Giuliani receives 33%. Without Fred Thompson, he takes 37%. Last month, Giuliani was at 44%. (Giuliani is the second choice of a plurality of Thompson supporters).

Among Democrats, Hillary Clinton still holds a sizable lead over Barack Obama, and her lead holds even among strong supporters of the war.

Also: "Clinton, the Democratic leader, has 59 percent “strong” support in her party, compared with 45 percent “strong” support among leaned Republicans for Giuliani."

Finally, here's ABC's Gary Langer on party affiliation:

"The Democrats may also take some hope from recent trends in political affiliation. As reported in an April 16 analysis of other results of this poll, self-identified partisanship has shifted from an even split between Democrats and Republicans in 2003 to a four point Democratic edge on average from 2004-2006, widening to a 10-point Democratic advantage so far this year. Nonetheless, plenty of Republicans have overcome that kind of gap to win the presidency in past years."


Posted at 09:28 AM


Comments


This poll is bulls---. Pardon the french. But it is a poll of "Adults", not Registered voters, much less "Likely" voters. It is competely at odds with the polls of folks who actually read the newspaper, watch and listen to the news on tv and have some idea of what is going on other than the received conventional wisdom of the uninformed. I wouldn't waste time parsing it.

Rick | 04.19.07 12:05 PM


Hillary and Giuliani are very polarizing. I don't believe either will be elected president. They both would make good VPs because they are willing to get bloody and shrill.

Fred Thompson is a man who would make an excellent president. Learn more about Fred Thompson for President at AnotherRonadReagan.com.

Philip Bailey | 04.19.07 08:54 PM

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