December 05, 2007
LAT/Bloomberg Poll: "Huckabee Inches Toward Giuliani"
The LAT analysis, and the national survey (taken Friday through Monday) results:
Likely GOP primary voters:
Rudy Giuliani 23% (down from 32% in October)
Mike Huckabee 17%
Fred Thompson 14%
John McCain 11%
Mitt Romney 9%
Ron Paul 5%
Key findings:
Although independents voting in the Republican primaries are dividing among most of the major Republican presidential candidates, 22% of this group said they would vote for Huckabee, compared to 14% for Thompson, 13% for Texas Representative Ron Paul, 13% for McCain and 15% for Giuliani. In the October poll, (although the independent group was a small base) Huckabee was in fifth place and single digits with this group.
Roughly a quarter each of likely voters who identify as Republicans and conservative Republicans would vote for Giuliani, followed closely by Huckabee (17%, 18% respectively). Twelve percent of Republicans would support Thompson, 11% for McCain and 10% for Romney.
Likely Dem primary voters:
Hillary Clinton 45%
Barack Obama 21%
John Edwards 11%
Bill Richardson 3%
Joe Biden 3%
Key findings:
A soft spot for Clinton may be independents that vote in the Democratic primaries. They are divided between Clinton at 29% and Obama at 23% with Edwards following at 16%.
Clinton lost some support from the affluent – A plurality of voters (43%) in households with income of $60,000 or more support the NY Senator in the current poll, while in October, 51% supported her.
Gender gap: There seems to be a small gender gap (that disappeared in the October poll). Now, 38% of men support Clinton, 26% back Obama and 12% support Edwards. In October 47% of men supported Clinton, 15% backed Obama and 13% supported Edwards. Among women, 50% back the woman candidate, the same share as in the previous poll.
African Americans are supporting Clinton over Obama by 40% to 28%. But a large 31% are still undecided.
(JENNIFER SKALKA)
Posted at 08:47 AM
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