January 02, 2008
New CNN/WMUR Poll: McCain Catches Up With Romney in NH, Clinton Has Small Edge
Mitt Romney 29%
John McCain 29%
Rudy Giuliani 12%
Mike Huckabee 10%
Ron Paul 7%
Fred Thompson 2%
Hillary Clinton 34%
Barack Obama 30%
John Edwards 17%
Bill Richardson 5%
Joe Biden 3%
Dennis Kucinich 2%
The poll was taken between Dec. 27 and Dec. 30. Margins of error, 4.3% for the Dem survey, 4.7% for the GOP numbers.
Key bits of analysis, courtesy of Andy Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, which conducted the poll:
McCain has steadily improved in recent weeks, largely at the expense of Giuliani, who is in danger of slipping into 4th or 5th place in New Hampshire.
“Giuliani’s strategy of ignoring Iowa and New Hampshire looks to be backfiring,” Smith said. “A fourth or fifth place finish in New Hampshire would be devastating to Giuliani’s campaign.”
But only one-third of likely Republican primary voters, 33%, say they have definitely decided who they will vote for,
29% are leaning toward a candidate, and 38% are still trying to make up their mind.
Romney gets his strongest support from young voters, upper income voters, and voters who are extremely interested in the primary. McCain gets his strongest support from Independents.
Meanwhile, undeclared voters, often referred to as Independents, can vote in either the Democratic or Republic primary. Currently, 63% of undeclared voters say they plan to vote in the Democratic primary. Among those undeclared voters who say they will vote in the Democratic primary, Obama holds a narrow lead over Clinton by 34% to 29% with 18% favoring Edwards, and 6% supporting Richardson. Obama has led among undeclareds for the past month. But registered Democrats make up 58% of likely voters and among registered Democrats, Clinton holds a 37% to 29% lead over Obama with 18% favoring Edwards and 5% preferring Richardson.
(JENNIFER SKALKA)
Posted at 01:35 PM
Comments
Post a comment
The Watergate · 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069
NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.
