February 20, 2008
HRC's Ohio Problem
If Hillary Clinton couldn't win WI, a state that is demographically tailor-made for her strengths (9 of 10 are white, working class/lower income voters make up a solid percentage of voters), then how can she possibly take Ohio?
Check this out:
OH/WI
whites
84%/87%
college grads
21%/22%
earns less than $50K
59%/57%
blue collar workers
28%/28%
And Barack Obama has one built-in edge in OH: black voters. They make up 11.4% of state voters, double the 5.6% in WI.
(JENNIFER SKALKA)
Posted at 11:03 AM
Comments
Jennifer.....what have you heard about a split from the Dem party and a a 3rd party run. I have e-mails stating a possible split from the party and a Clinton 3rd party run.
Kefa | 02.20.08 11:51 AM
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Well, culture matters too. HRC performed a lot better among voters makers less than 50k in NH than IA. WI is a neighboring state to Illinois and it's sympathetic to reformers. Ohio might be more bread and butter. And white voters in more homogenous states are less influences by race, or so analysis by Jay Cost and Brendan Nyhan suggests.
teenage lunatic | 02.20.08 11:52 AM
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two words:
Russ. Feingold.
ALSO...
you forgot that 25% of voters in WI were independents. that plays to Obama's strengths and isnt necessarily there in Ohio. come on, get ALL the facts for better analysis, please.
Val | 02.20.08 12:46 PM
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Kefa:
Just look up all of Hillary's speeches for Ned Lamont after he beat Joe Lieberman in the CT Sen primary.
Also, Hillary's support is entirely from the Democratic party establishment.
Final point: Bill would never allow it. He rebuilt the Dem party after 1994, and he wouldn't allow her to demolish it.
Someone's dreamin' silly dreams.
Doug | 02.20.08 12:48 PM
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kefa, you should email jennifer your info about a 3rd party run
tim | 02.20.08 01:02 PM
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