March 17, 2008

Divided We Stall

A new CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll of Dem RVs out this p.m. shows Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 52-45%, a 10% swing from Clinton's 49-46% lead on 2/3.

The poll also shows nearly half, 49%, of Dems say SuperDels should pick the Dem who would be the best candidate, while 46% say SuperDels should vote based on the results of primaries and caucuses. Among the latter group there is a distinct disconnect -- 19% say SuperDels should make their choice based on the nationwide results of all contests, while more than a quarter (27%) say their votes should be based on the results in a SuperDel's home state/district.

There is more of a consensus among Dems, however, on how to resolve FL and MI. More than six in 10 say these states should hold new primaries or caucuses, while a third believe they should not. Among this 34%, 19% believe MI and FL should send the Dels they selected in Jan., while 15% believe they should not be allowed to send Dels at all.

The poll, taken of 463 Dem RVs taken between 3/14-16, has a margin of error of +/- 5%.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

Posted at 04:01 PM

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