May 09, 2008
Hotline/Diageo Poll: McCain Lagging With GOPers, Obama's Indy Woes
A Hotline/Diageo survey out today shows John McCain's support among GOP voters has dropped dramatically over the last two months, while the prolonged Dem battle appears to be damaging Barack Obama's favor with Inds.
Trouble Ahead?
The national poll of registered voters, taken April 30-May 3, shows enthusiasm for McCain within the GOP is lagging. Just 34% of GOP primary voters said they would back him enthusiastically, while 42% said their vote for McCain would be, at base, a vote against the eventual Dem nom. In our February survey, 50% of Repubs polled said they'd support McCain enthusiastically, and 30% said their vote for him is a vote against the Dem candidate.
Obama, meanwhile, has seen his support among Inds suffer as his party's fight for the nom trudges on. Just 44% of Inds said they have a favorable opinion of the IL Sen, white an equal number have an unfavorable opinion. In March, his fav/unfav was 49%/40%.
McCain's Ind fav/unfav, by contrast is 57%/29%, a likely sign that he has to some degree maintained his trademark "maverick" image and his long-time appeal to moderates. Also, in a head-to-head with Obama, McCain wins out with Ind voters, 44% to 33%.
We Still Heart You Guys
Obama and Hillary Clinton's support among Dem voters hasn't waned dramatically -- despite the protracted fight for the nom. Obama's backing has remained steadier, with 56% of Dems saying they'll vote for him enthusiastically, compared with 55% in February. Clinton's support is not quite as solid, with 50% saying they'll vote for her enthusiastically. In Feb, 59% said as much of HRC.
Mano A Mano
Both Dems trump the likely GOP nom. Obama leads 47% to McCain's 43%, while Clinton has the edge, 46% to 43%.
Interestingly, among non-whites, Clinton fares better against McCain than Obama -- a sign that her edge with Hispanics could help in the general. Non-whites surveyed edged 66% for Obama, 20% for McCain. But 80% of non-whites backed Clinton, compared with 21% for McCain.
The female vote edges Democratic, meanwhile, no matter who emerges victorious. Obama has a 51%/37% advantage over McCain with women, while Clinton's edge over the GOPer is comparable, 52%/37%.
And for whatever this is worth in the homestretch of the Dem primary contests -- Obama leads Clinton, 48% to 37%.
Note: The survey of 803 registered voters has a 3.5 percentage point margin of error.
(JENNIFER SKALKA)
Posted at 02:49 PM
Comments
Clinton takes Indiana by a ‘razor’ and Obama wins North Carolina by a huge margin. Nevertheless, Kentucky, Montana and West Virginia are still to come.
The Democratic race for nomination is still very much alive – and most likely to be decided by superdelegates
If you’re tired of waiting around for those super delegates to make a decision already, go to LobbyDelegates.com and push them to support Clinton or Obama
If you haven't done so yet, please write a message to each of your state's superdelegates at http://www.lobbydelegates.com
Obama Supporters:
Sending a note to current Obama supporters lets them know it's appreciated, sending a note to current Clinton supporters can hopefully sway them to change their vote to Obama, and sending a note to the uncommitted folks will hopefully sway them to vote for Obama. It's that easy...
Clinton Supporters too …. !
It takes a moment, but what's a few minutes now worth to get Clinton in office?! Those are really worth !
Sending a note to current Clinton supporters lets them know it's appreciated, sending a note to current Obama supporters can hopefully sway them to change their vote to Clinton, and sending a note to the uncommitted folks will hopefully sway them to vote for Clinton. It's that easy...
feeba | 05.12.08 07:43 AM
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